The recent drawdown reflected macro stress, deleveraging, and institutional outflows more than a breakdown in crypto’s underlying structure. Triton views the tape through a post-capitulation lens, focusing on flows, sentiment, valuations, and on-chain activity to distinguish temporary price weakness from genuine structural deterioration.
Crypto is not a single asset class but a stack of distinct economic verticals, each with its own risk drivers and valuation logic. Triton applies a vertical-first, KPI-specific framework, similar to equity sector analysis, to avoid metric misuse and generate more durable alpha in liquid markets.
Crypto is moving beyond the four-year cycle as institutional adoption, easing macro conditions, and structural market changes redefine how returns are formed.